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Nepal economic news 2024 - banking liquidity, hydropower exports, trade updates

Six Best Economic News Shaping Nepal Right Now

December 23, 2024  |  Economic Analysis

A symphony of hope and hurdles shaping the Himalayan nation's financial future

The banking sector in Nepal is under pressure, with a cautious lending environment and deposits yielding minimal returns. This hesitation stems from economic uncertainties, creating challenges for businesses and individuals seeking financial support. Nepal's export-import gap remains significant, but there's a silver lining—economic activities are gradually improving, showcasing a slow but steady recovery. Foreign aid and remittance continue to play a vital role in stabilizing Nepal's economy, providing much-needed resilience.

Rs 7 Trillion+
Banking Liquidity Surplus
237%
Foreign Aid Surge
Rs 13.4B
Electricity Exports to India

The Flow of Excess Liquidity

The rivers of capital in Nepal's banking sector flow abundantly, yet the fields of investment remain barren. With a staggering liquidity surplus of over NPR 7 trillion, banks find themselves with an abundance of unutilized funds. Despite historically low interest rates of just 4%, businesses hesitate to borrow. Entrepreneurs cite systemic challenges: unstable politics, unreliable infrastructure, and bureaucratic delays. The government's ambitious target of 6% economic growth and a 12.5% private sector credit expansion seems elusive. Non-performing loans (NPLs) are on the rise, highlighting the need for a bold government strategy to restore trust and foster investment opportunities.

Rasuwagadhi Hydro Power Plant Successfully Completes Trial Production

The Rasuwagadhi Hydro Power Plant, located in the northern part of Rasuwa in Timure, has successfully completed its trial production, generating 52 MW of electricity. The power plant operates with three 33/33 MW capacity machines. Project Chief Satyaram Jyakhwa confirmed that despite the reduced river flow during the colder season, the first trial production was successful. With an estimated cost of Rs 18.69 billion, the project faced delays due to fuel shortages, the 2015 earthquake, and floods. All three turbines are now fully operational, generating 613.875 million units annually, contributing Rs 3.25 billion in revenue.

Nepal Sees 237% Surge in Foreign Aid Commitments

Nepal's Ministry of Finance has reported a substantial increase in foreign aid commitments from development partners, reaching Rs 202.4 billion by the first week of Poush in fiscal year 2081/82. This marks a 237% rise in commitments compared to Rs 59.98 billion during the same period last year. Notably, foreign grants have grown by 153%, while foreign loans have surged by 280%, reflecting a strong boost in international support for Nepal's development projects.

Dragon Boat Race to Propel Pokhara Tourism

The second Nepal-China Friendly Dragon Boat Race is set to take place in Pokhara, featuring 20 teams from Nepal, China, and Singapore. The competition will be held at Fewa Lake with race distances of 200 meters and 500 meters. Winners receive $5,000 each, runner-ups $2,000, and third place $1,200. Wang Xin, Deputy Chief of Mission at the Chinese Embassy, emphasized the significance of fostering friendly ties between Nepal and China. With over 92,000 Chinese tourists visiting Nepal in 2024, such initiatives strengthen bilateral ties and promote tourism.

A Beacon of Power: Share Agreement for Myagdi Hydropower

Citizens Investment Fund and Myagdi Hydropower Limited have signed a share guarantee agreement to facilitate the issuance of shares worth Rs 474 million. Under this agreement, shares will be issued at Rs 100 per share. The agreement will remain valid for six months, providing Myagdi Hydropower with the assurance to proceed with its share issuance plan and support hydropower infrastructure development.

Electricity Worth Rs 13.4 Billion Exported to India

Nepal Electricity Authority (NEA) exported surplus electricity worth Rs 13.4 billion to India within the first five months of fiscal year 2081/82. A total of 1.76 billion units were sold, averaging Rs 7.39 per unit. Transactions took place through the Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) and bilateral agreements with Haryana and Bihar, generating Rs 8.15 billion in revenue. With an export target of Rs 30 billion for this fiscal year, NEA continues navigating hurdles while leveraging approval to sell 941 MW to the Indian market. Last year, Nepal transitioned from a net importer to a net exporter, achieving a trade surplus of Rs 130 million in electricity.

Trade Imbalance: Exports Rise 16.54%

Nepal's export trade has shown significant improvement in the first five months of fiscal year 2024/2025. Exports have risen by 16.54 percent, reaching Rs 73.65 billion. Imports reached Rs 661.48 billion, marking a 3 percent increase. Soybean oil exports surged to Rs 8.36 billion, cardamom reached Rs 3.46 billion, sunflower oil Rs 2.98 billion, and carpets Rs 2.83 billion. However, petroleum product imports continue to strain foreign exchange reserves, with diesel imports worth Rs 42.17 billion and petrol Rs 26.45 billion.

Scaling Mountains: The Kathmandu-Kerung Railway Saga

Amid towering peaks, Nepal dreams of a railway connecting Kathmandu to Kerung. The feasibility study inches forward, with 98% of the terrain demanding tunnels and bridges. The estimated cost of Rs 271.368 billion looms large. This project symbolizes Nepal's aspiration to integrate with global trade networks. Analysts emphasize the need for transparent planning, international collaboration, and sustainable financing to ensure this dream becomes reality.

To The End

As Nepal stands at the crossroads of opportunity and challenge, its economic landscape tells a tale of resilience. From unutilized liquidity to ambitious infrastructure dreams, every statistic is a thread in the fabric of a nation's future. Hydropower and tourism shine as pillars of hope, while the trade deficit and investment inertia remind us of the work yet to be done. With strategic policies, collaborative efforts, and unwavering determination, Nepal can transform these challenges into stepping stones toward economic prosperity.

Global Post Headline — Independent economic analysis from Nepal. globalpostheadline.com